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Rents Drop as Demand Declines, Yardi Matrix Reports

National Multifamily Market Report – November 2022

Average U.S. asking rents dropped $9 to $1,719 in November

SANTA BARBARA, Calif., Dec. 13, 2022 – The anticipated slowdown in multifamily performance arrived last month, as the sector clocked its lowest year-over-year growth since mid-2021,  according to the latest Yardi® Matrix National Multifamily Report.

U.S. asking rents fell $9 during the month to $1,719, while year-over-year growth dropped to seven percent, the lowest level in 17 months. The decreases are attributed to economic headwinds and deteriorating demand. The $9 rollback was the largest one-month decline in rents in over a decade.

The deterioration in rents was not unexpected. Rent increases have far exceeded normal growth patterns for nearly two years. Average asking rents increased by 22 percent nationally between January 2021 and October 2022, a rate that would be unsustainable under optimal conditions.

“With the economy softening, demand for units slowing and rising interest rates creating head- winds for housing, multifamily asking rent growth finally took a turn downward in November,” states the report. “The decades-high inflation rate has left household balance sheets in a weaker position than a year ago, while economic growth is slowing as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates.”

Absorption of apartments has been positive in 2022, but well below 2021 levels that were boosted by strong job growth and household savings coming out of the pandemic.

Average U.S. rents are up 6.4 percent year-to-date, and the national occupancy rate, while slipping in recent months, is a healthy 95.6 percent. And while rent growth has turned negative in many metros this fall, every one of Matrix’s top 30 metros maintains positive year-over-year growth.

The single-family rental market is also declining. The average U.S. asking rent dropped $5 in November to $2,091, while the year-over-year increase fell by 80 basis points to 5.9 percent.

Learn more in the latest Matrix National Multifamily Report.

Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, student housing, industrial, office and self storage property types. Email [email protected], call (480) 663-1149 or visit yardimatrix.com to learn more.

About Yardi

Yardi® develops and supports industry-leading investment and property management software for all types and sizes of real estate companies. Established in 1984, Yardi is based in Santa Barbara, Calif., and serves clients worldwide. For more information on how Yardi is Energized for Tomorrow, visit yardi.com.

About the author

Jeff Adler

Jeffrey Adler is Vice President, of Yardi® Matrix, the data division of Yardi Systems.

Yardi® Matrix is a US multifamily, student, office, medical office/lab space, industrial, and self-storage asset information toolset for originating, underwriting, and asset managing commercial real estate investments, with over 800 clients worldwide. Yardi® Matrix provides investment strategy, market and institutional research reports leveraging the underlying property level detail of 135 markets, >92,000 multifamily properties and >18 MM units. Mr. Adler also leads Commercial Property Executive and Multi-Housing News, two digital media websites.

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