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October Rents Up Slightly, But Slowing Year-Over-Year, Yardi Matrix Reports

National Multifamily Market Report – October 2022

U.S. asking rents increased $3 in October to $1,727, annual growth falls dramatically

SANTA BARBARA, Calif., Nov. 16, 2022 – Average multifamily asking rents showed a slight increase in October, despite weaker demand and dipping year-over-year (YOY) growth, according to the latest Yardi® Matrix National Multifamily Report.

U.S. asking rents increased $3 in October to $1,727. Year-over-year growth fell to 8.2 percent, the lowest level since the summer of 2021 and down from its 15.3 percent peak in the first quarter.

The single-family rental market is also cooling from record-level performance. The average U.S. asking rent was unchanged at $2,088 in October, while the YOY increase fell by 160 basis points to 6.6 percent.

The deceleration in asking rents is gradual, as all of the Matrix top 30 metros produced YOY rent increases. Experts are concerned about how the multifamily market will react to the rapid increase in short-term interest rates as the Federal Reserve attempts to reduce inflation.

“The inevitable economic slowdown raises questions about when the impact will start to be felt and how much the sector will be affected,” states the report. “Demand has weakened since the first quarter due to slowing job growth and concerns over the macroeconomic environment. The robust household formation that drove demand in 2021 is no longer in effect.”

The U.S. rental occupancy rate has dropped 50 basis points over the past year, but the national 95.5 percent rate remains above the long-term average.

With debt costs higher and still rising, property sales and new construction have begun to slow. However, with home mortgage rates up to 7.3 percent as of early November, first-time homebuyers are being frozen out of the market, according to the National Association of Realtors, and will be more likely to remain in rentals.

Learn more in the latest Matrix National Multifamily Report.

Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, student housing, industrial, office and self storage property types. Email [email protected], call (480) 663-1149 or visit yardimatrix.com to learn more.

About Yardi

Yardi® develops and supports industry-leading investment and property management software for all types and sizes of real estate companies. Established in 1984, Yardi is based in Santa Barbara, Calif., and serves clients worldwide. For more information on how Yardi is Energized for Tomorrow, visit yardi.com.

About the author

Jeff Adler

Jeffrey Adler is Vice President, of Yardi® Matrix, the data division of Yardi Systems.

Yardi® Matrix is a US multifamily, student, office, medical office/lab space, industrial, and self-storage asset information toolset for originating, underwriting, and asset managing commercial real estate investments, with over 800 clients worldwide. Yardi® Matrix provides investment strategy, market and institutional research reports leveraging the underlying property level detail of 135 markets, >92,000 multifamily properties and >18 MM units. Mr. Adler also leads Commercial Property Executive and Multi-Housing News, two digital media websites.

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